Gold Stages a Major Breakout... Here's What It Means

If you blinked, you might have missed it...

The price of gold has been soaring. It jumped 7.3% over a two-week stretch last month. And the metal is up double digits over the last two months.

The recent move has been swift and powerful. It pushed gold to a new 52-week high... And more than that, the metal crossed above $1,400 an ounce for the first time since 2013.

These are both fantastically good pieces of news for gold. They tell us that the rally is powerful... and that it can keep going. In fact, history says we could see another 19% gain over the next year.

Let me explain...

Gold has been dead money for nearly a decade.

The furious bull market of the 2000s culminated with a massive peak in late 2011. Gold nearly broke $2,000 an ounce. Then it crashed...

Prices fell for years, forming a major bottom in late 2015. And while prices have rallied here and there since then, we hadn't seen a major breakout.

Not until last month, at least...

You see, gold had been rallying since late last fall – but it took a breather. The metal fell in March and April. And it appeared to have lost all momentum.

Then, June happened...

Gold prices took off at the end of May and have now staged a major breakout. Take a look...

You can see that gold struggled to break out from similar levels in 2016 and early 2018. At first, the recent rally seemed to be losing steam as well. But then prices smashed through $1,400 an ounce last month.

Make no mistake, this breakout is huge for gold going forward. The metal has now jumped out of the range it's been stuck in for years. And it hit a new 52-week high in the process.

The trend is powerful. And that means that buying gold after new 52-week highs is a powerful strategy. The table below shows it...

These numbers cover more than four decades of history. And while gold has only jumped 5% per year on average since then, buying after a new 52-week high leads to much better returns.

We've already seen double-digit upside in gold over the last two months. But history says we could easily see another 19% return this year, too.

We haven't seen this kind of opportunity in gold in years. Again, the metal spent nearly a decade doing nothing. It was dead money, and investors had completely written it off.

They're getting interested again now, though. And as more folks wake up to what's happening in the gold market, it'll bring more investment dollars... and ultimately lead to higher prices.

This could be the start of the next major gold boom. And that means you want to own the metal now.

Good investing,

Brett Eversole

Further Reading

"The perception is that commodities are dead," Steve writes. "It's the kind of setup contrarian investors dream about." Find out why the commodities market is poised to soar in the years ahead right here.

You might not know this, but central bank policies have quietly influenced the price of gold in recent years... And as Justin Brill explains, that's another reason today's gold rally should continue. Get the full story here.

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Market Notes

ONE MORE STEP TOWARD A CASHLESS SOCIETY

Today, we're looking at one of the top names in mobile payments...

Regular readers know more Americans are using their smartphones to pay for stuff. As the trend becomes more widespread, fewer and fewer people will want to carry cash... In fact, we believe no one will carry a wallet in a few years. Today's company backs up that prediction...

PayPal (PYPL) is a $140 billion payments-processing giant. It has 277 million active accounts. The company helps its users pay each other easily and safely through multiple platforms (including its popular Venmo app). From your computer to your smartphone, PayPal has all the bases covered... And a growing number of vendors even accept it in person. In PayPal's first-quarter results, revenue was up 12% from the same period a year ago... And it processed $161 billion in payments – an increase of 22%.

As you can see, PYPL shares are up more than 200% over the past three years... And they recently hit a fresh all-time high. That trend is bound to continue as more and more people opt out of using cash...